How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA?

This prediction market on Polymarket asks: How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? With $72.1k in trading volume and $2 liquidity, the current odds show Long at 100%.

Long

100¢

Short

0¢

Volume

$72.1k

Liquidity

$2

Status

Closed

What is this market about?

This is a scalar market on the number of confirmed coronavirus cases there will be at the end of 2020 in the United States, according to https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html. The lower bound for this market is 9 million and the upper bound is 15 million - you can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short share price corresponds with number of confirmed cases. The market will be settled according to https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html at roughly 12am EST on January 1st, 2021. Long and Short shares will settle proportional to the final value, in the case of the final value being between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Share is capped at $1. Refer to calculator. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

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Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.