Markets
Active prediction market events with live odds, volume, and sub-markets. Click any event to explore its markets.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 4: If the Dallas Mavericks win by over 5.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Memphis Grizzlies lose by less than 5.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 11, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$1k
volume
In the upcoming NFL game: If the Atlanta Falcons win by over 3.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Carolina Panthers lose by less than 3.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 6, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$5k
volume
This is a market on whether the San Francisco 49ers will beat the Green Bay Packers by over 3.5 points in their NFL week three matchup scheduled to take place on September 26, 2021, at 8:20 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 49ers win by over 3.5 points, and “No” if the Packers lose by less than 3.5 points or win. If the match is postponed to a date on or before October 26, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a date after October 26, 2021, or canceled altogether, the market will resolve 55-45 in favor of “No”.
$139k
volume
The Norway Chess is a prestigious annual closed chess tournament, scheduled to take place this year from May 31 to June 11 in Stavanger, Norway. Ten world-class players will play against each other in 9 rounds in a round-robin tournament. If Magnus Carlsen loses any game in the 2022 Norway Chess this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Magnus Carlsen draws and/or wins every game this market will resolve to “No”. Only the 9 round-robin games will be considered for this market. Tie-Breaks will not be considered for this market. The primary resolution sources for this market will be https://norwaychess.no/; however, other credible reporting may be used.
$90k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 18th: If the Miami Heat win by over 7.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Washington Wizards lose by less than 7.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 25, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$8k
volume
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 19: If the Jacksonville Jaguars win by over 3.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Houston Texans lose by less than 3.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 26, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$1k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 8: If the Los Angeles Clippers win by over 2.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Boston Celtics lose by less than 2.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 15, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$4k
volume
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 2: If the Kansas City Chiefs win by over 3.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Cincinnati Bengals lose by less than 3.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by January 9, 2022, the market will resolve 50-50.
$21k
volume
'Lightyear' is an upcoming American computer-animated film produced by Pixar Animation Studios. It is a spin-off of the Toy Story film series, serving as an origin story for the fictional test astronaut character who the Buzz Lightyear toy figure featured in the main films was inspired by. It is scheduled for theatrical release in the USA on June 17, 2022. This is a market on how much 'Lightyear' will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The “Domestic Weekend” tab on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl6456065/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening weekend (June 17-19) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Lightyear' grosses more than $90,000,000 on the opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA or to the USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by June 26, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
$9k
volume
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 13: If the Arizona Cardinals win by over 2.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Los Angeles Rams lose by less than 2.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 20, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$36k
volume
This is a market on whether NFT collection "We Are All Going to Die" will have a floor price above 1 ETH on June 14, 2022 (at 12:00 PM ET), according to https://opensea.io/collection/we-are-all-going-to-die. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on the aforementioned check time, there are no We Are All Going to Die NFTs listed for sale ("Buy now") for 1 ETH or less on the official We Are All Going to Die collection page on OpenSea. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only listings that have existed for at least an hour are valid for this market. List time for an NFT can be found under “Trading History” by clicking the “Listing” filter and hovering over the date. Note: the exact price at the check time will be used. If no floor price is available at the check time, the source will be checked every following hour. For valid listings that are declining price auctions, the price exactly at the check time will be used, NOT the price at the initial listing time.
$4k
volume
This is a market on who will win in the NBA play-in tournament match between the San Antonio Spurs and the Memphis Grizzlies, scheduled to take place at 7:30 PM ET May 19, 2021. This market will resolve to “Spurs” if the San Antonio Spurs win, and “Grizzlies” if the Memphis Grizzlies win. If the match is postponed to a date on or before June 1, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a date after June 1, 2021, or cancelled altogether, the market will resolve 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$66k
volume
If the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications Network (SWIFT Network) disconnects or otherwise restricts any Belarusian institution(s) in accordance with sanctions by April 30, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If any banks or institutions based in the Republic of Belarus are disconnected from SWIFT in accordance with sanctions and later reconnected, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If SWIFT announces it will be disconnecting any Belarusian banks or institutions in accordance with any sanctions but those sanctions go into effect after the resolution date for this market, the announcement will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SWIFT (https://www.swift.com/about-us/legal/compliance-0/swift-and-sanctions), however other credible reporting may be used.
$100k
volume
This market asks whether the North American Treaty Organization (NATO) will declare a no fly-zone over the airspace of any territory designated by the United Nations as Ukrainian by April 30, 2022. If NATO declares a no fly-zone over the airspace of any territory designated by the United Nations as Ukrainian between the date of this market's inception, March 8, 2022, 12:00:00 PM ET, and April 30, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If NATO declares the no-fly zone by April 30, 2022, even if it goes into effect afterwards, it will still suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by NATO (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_room.htm), however other credible news sources will also be used.
$24k
volume
If the value of natural gas is greater than $9.00 at market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, June 17, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of natural gas is $9.00 or less as of market close according to this market's resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used. The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng:nmx/historical). Resolution will be based on the value listed in column labelled “Close/Last” in the row titled with the resolution date.
$41k
volume
This is a market on whether the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So go to play-offs. The Finals are scheduled to take place over May 30 and May 31. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So reaches the play-offs, i.e. they play at least one play-off game, and “No” otherwise. If any games of the series are postponed to a day on or before June 5, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If any games of the series are postponed to a day after June 5, 2021, and the result of the market cannot be determined from previously played games, then the market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$6k
volume
This is a market on whether the Czech Republic or Denmark will qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals. This market will resolve to “Czech Republic” if the Czech Republic qualifies, or “Denmark” if Denmark qualifies. If for any reason neither team qualifies, or both teams qualify, the market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$3k
volume
This is a market on whether Lost Ark will be #1-5 on Steam in terms of peak players on April 15, 2022 at 11:59:59 PM ET. Results of this market will be decided by the official Steam player count ("Peak Today") available at https://store.steampowered.com/stats/. If Lost Ark is #1-5 or tied for any of those spots, the market will resolve "Yes", and otherwise "No." In the event the resolution source is not available on April 15, 2022 at 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible source will be chosen. If no other credible sources are available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until April 22, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, when the market will resolve 50-50. The games listed at the resolution source will be ranked from highest to lowest based on the amounts in the "Peak Today" column. In the case of ties, the market will use standard competition ranking ("1224" ranking), where each game's ranking number is 1 plus the number of games ranked above it.
$9k
volume
The 2022 NBA playoffs is the main postseason tournament of the 2021–22 season. All rounds are a best-of-seven series; a series ends when one team wins four games, and that team advances to the next round. This is a market about the Second Round of 2022 NBA Playoffs (also called Conference Semifinals) and will resolve to the team which advances to the Conference Finals, by winning four games of the series or by any other reason, as decided by the National Basketball Association. The second round of the playoffs begins on May 1 with the last games scheduled for May 16, 2022. In the upcoming 2nd round of 2022 NBA Playoffs: If the Boston Celtics win, the market will resolve to “Celtics.” If the Milwaukee Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks.” If the round is not completed by May 23, 2022 (11:59:59 PM ET), the market will resolve 50-50.
$3k
volume
This is a market on whether Surojit Chatterjee or Matt Huang will win in their CryptoChamps Finals match, scheduled to take place on June 13, 2021. The market will resolve to “Chatterjee” if Surojit Chatterjee wins, or “Huang” if Matt Huang wins. If the match is postponed to a day on or before June 19, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a day after June 19, 2021, or is cancelled altogether, the market will resolve to 50 cents Chatterjee and 50 cents Huang. More information about the tournament can be found here https://www.chess.com/article/view/cryptochamps-all-the-information. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$5k
volume
In the upcoming NCAA Finals game, scheduled for April 4: If the University of North Carolina Tar Heels win, the market will resolve to “UNC.” If the University of Kansas Jayhawks win, the market will resolve to “Kansas.” If the game is not completed by April 11 (11:59:59 PM ET), the market will resolve 50-50.
$66k
volume
This is the market on the 2021 FIDE World Rapid Chess Championship Open - a chess tournament held to determine the world champion in chess played under rapid time controls (15 minutes starting, plus 10 seconds per move / player). The tournament is scheduled to take place on December 26-28 2021 in Warsaw, Poland. This market will resolve to "Yes", if any of the official games (including tiebreaks) played at the 2021 FIDE World Rapid Chess Championship Open will start with a move 1. e3. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, that out of the 2021 FIDE World Blitz & Rapid Championships, only the Rapid Open tournament games are taken into consideration for this market. If for any reason, the tournament is cancelled or rescheduled after January 6 2022, this market will resolve 50-50.
$2k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 9: If the Los Angeles Lakers win by over 2.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Memphis Grizzlies lose by less than 2.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 16, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$4k
volume
If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to “Bucks.” If the Heat win, the market will resolve to “Heat.” If the game is not completed by October 28, 2021, the market will resolve 48-52 favoring “Heat.”
$26k
volume
The 64th GRAMMYs Awards Show, presented by the Recording Academy, is an event honoring “outstanding achievement in the music industry” for the period of time between September 30, 2020, and September 30, 2021. It is scheduled to take place at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas on April 3, 2022. The nominations were announced on November 23, 2021. This is a market on whether “I Get a Kick Out of You” by Lady Gaga and Tony Bennet will win the Grammy for Record of the Year at the 64th GRAMMYs Awards Show, scheduled to take place on April 3, 2022. If “I Get a Kick Out of You” by Lady Gaga and Tony Bennet wins the Grammy for Record of the Year at the 64th GRAMMYs Awards Show, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason the winner is not announced by May 1, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/), however other credible reporting may be used.
$10k
volume
This is a market on whether the price of Solana ($SOL) will first reach $35.00 USD or $50.00 USD between June 6, 2022, and January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "$35" if $SOL drops to $35.00 USD or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "$50" if $SOL reaches $50.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $SOL neither drops to $35.00 or below nor reaches $50.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko's 30min candlestick low and high prices, with "Sun Jan 1 2023, 00:00:00" as the last relevant candle used for the market. The resolution source can be found here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana. Note, this 00:00:00 candle lists the opening price for 11:30:00 PM ET and the closing price for 12:00:00 AM ET.
$3k
volume
This is a market on whether Nate Wyatt will KO, TKO, or retire DDG, in their “Battle of the Platforms (Youtubers v. TikTokers)” boxing match, scheduled to take place on June 12, 2021, at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nate Wyatt KOs, TKOs, or retires DDG during their exhibition boxing match. For this market, “KOs, TKOs, or retires DDG” will be considered any of the following: (1) a true knockout, where Wyatt delivers a legal blow or series of legal blows, such that DDG falls to the canvas and cannot make the count, causing the fight to stopped early, (2) a technical knockout, where Wyatt delivers a legal blow or series of legal blows such that the referee intervenes to stop the fight early to protect DDG’s safety, (3) failing to answer to the bell, where Wyatt delivers a legal blow or series of legal blows throughout the match, such that DDG does not rise for the opening bell for a round, due to, for example, doctor stoppage, retirement from the match, “throwing in the towel”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). Update: If the match is postponed to a date on or before June 19, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a date after June 19, 2021 or cancelled altogether, the market will resolve to "No".
$4k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 28: If the Milwaukee Bucks win by over 13.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Orlando Magic lose by less than 13.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by January 4, 2022, the market will resolve 50-50.
$4k
volume
In Response to Trader Inquiry: Due to how data is reported to the resolution source, check times will occur at 11 AM ET daily, with the last check time being on September 9, 11 AM ET. On June 8, 2022, @kaiynne tweeted "I predict @synthetix_io will have higher single day fee capture than BTC sometime in the next three months." (https://twitter.com/kaiynne/status/1534510640832090112?s=20&t=_faX990hHwVBKHp52CbJBw) This market asks whether Synthetix will have a higher 1-day fee capture than Bitcoin according to https://cryptofees.info/ by September 8, 2022. If Synthetix has a higher 1-day fee capture than Bitcoin on any date between June 8 and September 8, 2022 (inclusive), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the data displayed in the "1 Day Fees" column on https://cryptofees.info/. The resolution source will be checked at 11 AM ET daily, with the last potential check on September 9, 11 AM ET. If on any of these checks Synthetix has a higher 1-day fee capture than Bitcoin per the resolution source, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If on every check through September 9 Synthetix maintains a 1-day fee capture equal to or lower than Bitcoin, this market will resolve to “No.” If the resolution source is down or its data is otherwise unavailable during the checks, the data sources supplying https://cryptofees.info/ will be used directly, or other credible sources with on-chain data (e.g.: Synthetix: The Graph, Bitcoin: https://charts.coinmetrics.io/network-data/). Note that only the chains which https://cryptofees.info accounts for will be looked at.
$7k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 26: If the Chicago Bulls win by over 6.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Indiana Pacers lose by less than 6.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by January 2, 2022, the market will resolve 50-50.
$2k
volume
This is a market on whether Surojit Chatterjee or Tekin Salimi will win in their CryptoChamps Semifinals match, scheduled to take place on June 13, 2021. The market will resolve to “Chatterjee” if Surojit Chatterjee wins, or “Salimi” if Tekin Salimi wins. If the match is postponed to a day on or before June 19, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a day after June 19, 2021, or is cancelled altogether, the market will resolve to 50 cents Chatterjee and 50 cents Salimi. More information about the tournament can be found here https://www.chess.com/article/view/cryptochamps-all-the-information. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$10k
volume
This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the Eurostat (HICP), from February 2021 to February 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union annual inflation in February 2022 is 5.9 percent or more and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-euro-indicators. The next release of HICP inflation rate with full data for February 2022 is scheduled for March 17, 2022. Note, that this market is about the inflation for all European Union Member States, not only the Euro zone (states using €). Inflation dashboard for the Euro zone can be viewed here: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/macroeconomic_and_sectoral/hicp/html/index.en.html
$8k
volume
This is a market on whether Joe Biden's approval rating will be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable on the resolution date, resolution will be delayed up to 48 hours. If still unavailable following that delay, this market will resolve to 50/50. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating. The resolution date for this market will be on May 20, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of May 19, 2021. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$18k
volume
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 7: If the Toronto Maple Leafs win by over 1.5 goals, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Carolina Hurricanes lose by less than 1.5 goals or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by February 15 2022 (11:59:59 PM ET), the market will resolve 50-50.
$1k
volume
This is a market on who will win in the Game 6, Western Conference Final, NBA Playoff matchup between the Phoenix Suns and the Los Angeles Clippers, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2021. This market will resolve to “Suns” if the Phoenix Suns win, and “Clippers” if the Los Angeles Clippers win. If the match is postponed to a date on or before July 7, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a date after July 7, 2021 or cancelled altogether, the market will resolve 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$3k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game: If the Indiana Pacers win by over 3.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the San Antonio Spurs lose by less than 3.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 6, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$1k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 15th: If the Miami Heat win by over 9.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Oklahoma City Thunder lose by less than 9.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 22, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$12k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 27th: If the Brooklyn Nets win by over 1.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Phoenix Suns lose by less than 1.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 4th, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$4k
volume
This is a market on the Market Cap comparison of two cryptocurrencies: XRP ($XRP) and Polkadot ($DOT) for the resolution date and time of November 12, 2021, at 8:00 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be market cap ranking on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en). If, according to the resolution source, $XRP has a greater market cap than $DOT on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “XRP”. If $DOT has a greater market cap than $XRP on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Polkadot”. If the estimated market cap for the resolution date is exactly the same for both cryptocurrencies, this market will resolve 50/50. If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable at the resolution time, another credible source will be checked such as CoinMarketCap. In the event of an ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, historical market caps of each coin will be used (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/xrp, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/polkadot), precisely the first recorded measurement after 8:00 PM. -------------- Market Cap = Current Price x Circulating Supply Refers to the total market value of a cryptocurrency’s circulating supply.
$17k
volume
This is a market on whether the Las Vegas Raiders or the Pittsburgh Steelers will win their NFL week two game on September 19, 2021, at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Raiders” if the Raiders win, and “Steelers” if the Steelers win. If the match is postponed to a date on or before October 19, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a date after October 19, 2021, or canceled altogether, the market will resolve 70-30 in favor of the Steelers.
$11k
volume
This is a market on whether the Las Vegas Raiders will beat the Miami Dolphins by over 3.5 points in their NFL week three matchup scheduled to take place on September 26, 2021, at 4:05 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Raiders win by over 3.5 points, and “No” if the Dolphins lose by less than 3.5 points or win. If the match is postponed to a date on or before October 26, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a date after October 26, 2021, or canceled altogether, the market will resolve 55-45 in favor of “No”.
$8k
volume
This is a market on whether Hungary or France will win their Euro 2020 match, scheduled for June 19, 2021 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to “Hungary” if Hungary wins the match, or “France” if France wins the match. If the match ends in a tie, the market will resolve to 50-50. If, for any reason, this match is postponed and a new match date is set for a start time of June 26, 2021, 9:00 AM ET or earlier, the same rules for market resolution will apply for the rescheduled match. If this match is rescheduled for a start time on any date after June 26, 2021, 9:00 AM ET, or is canceled altogether, the market will resolve 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$2k
volume
This is a market on whether Bitcoin ($BTC) will reach the price of $20,000.00 or less between June 13, 2022, 9 AM ET, and July 1, 2022, 12 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin ($BTC) drops to $20,000.00 or less within this market's timeframe. This market will resolve to "No" if the price of Bitcoin ($BTC) remains above $20,000.00 for the entirety of this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko's 30min candlestick low prices, with "Fri Jul 01 2022, 00:00:00" as the last relevant candle used for the market. The resolution source can be found here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. Note, the 00:00:00 candle lists the opening price at 11:30:00 PM ET and the closing price at 12:00:00 AM ET.
$20k
volume
This is a market on whether F9 will gross more than $62M domestically on the opening weekend. This market will resolve to “Yes” if F9 grosses more than $62,000,000 on opening weekend, defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release, and “No” Otherwise. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl192906753/, under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on June 29, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by July 5, 2021, 5 PM ET, then another credible source will chosen by the MIC and checked. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$7k
volume
This market shall resolve to "Yes" if Hikaru Nakamura places 1st place in the 2021 St. Louis Rapid and Blitz Chess Tournament. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” If the tournament is postponed to an end date on or before September 1, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If it is postponed to an end date after September 1, 2021, or is cancelled altogether, the market will resolve to “No.” In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$24k
volume
This is a market on whether the United States will report a 7-day average of COVID-19 cases for the date of January 8 2022 that is higher than the 7-day average of COVID-19 cases reported for the date of January 1 2022. This market will resolve on data from the CDC's Data Tracker, specifically, the 7-day moving average of COVID-19 cases for the United States, which is available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (navigate to "Select a state or territory" and select “United States”, and then scroll to "Data Table for Daily Case Trends" and view the data in the "7-Day Moving Avg" column, which is able to be sorted in descending order). The resolution source will be reviewed at 8 PM ET on January 15 to check the 7-day average for both the dates of January 8 and January 1 2022. If the 7-day average for January 8 exceeds that of January 1 at this check, "Yes" will win. Otherwise, "No" will win. If the resolution source is unavailable at that time, the most recently available data will be used to resolve the market.
$9k
volume
This is a market on who will win in the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match-up between Hikaru Nakamura and Fabiano Caruana, scheduled to take place on May 25, 2021 at 3:00 PM ET. The market will resolve to “Nakamura” if Hikaru Nakamura wins, or “Caruana” if Fabiano Caruana wins. If the preliminary game is a draw, the market will resolve to 50 cents Nakamura and 50 cents Caruana. If the preliminary game is postponed to a day on or before May 31, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the preliminary game is postponed to a day after May 31, 2021, or is cancelled altogether, the market will resolve to 50 cents Nakamura and 50 cents Caruana. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$105
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 17: If the Miami Heat win by over 4.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Orlando Magic lose by less than 4.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 24, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$2k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 6: If the Philadelphia 76ers win by over 6.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Charlotte Hornets lose by less than 6.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 13, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$6k
volume
If the value natural gas is greater than $8.00 at market close according to the resolution source on the resolution date, May 20, 2022, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of natural gas is $8.00 or less as of market close according to the resolution source on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at (https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/ng:nmx/historical). Resolution will be based on the value listed in column labelled “Close/Last” in the row titled with the resolution date.
$54k
volume
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wolf Game World (WOOL) has a candlestick closing price of $0.100001 or more, as per resolution source, on December 1st 2021, 12 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be prices listed on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/wolf-game-wool). This market will resolve on the “C” (i.e. closing price) listed for the candle titled “Wed 1 December 2021, 12:00:00”, with the “Price” tab selected, in the Eastern Time Zone. Note, this 12:00:00 candle lists the opening price for 11:30:00 PM ET and the closing price for 12:00:00 PM ET. The check will be at 12:30 PM ET December 1, 2021.
$52k
volume
This is a market on if the price of Ethereum (ETH) will be above $1,200 in USD on July 15, 2022 (12 PM ET). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ethereum (ETH) has a candlestick closing price of $1,200.01 or more, as per the resolution source, on July 15, 2022, 12 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be prices listed on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum). This market will resolve according to the “C” (i.e. closing price) listed for the candle titled “Fri 15 Jul 2022, 12:00:00”, with the “Price” tab selected, in the Eastern Time Zone. Note, this 12:00:00 candle lists the opening price for 11:30:00 AM ET and the closing price for 12:00:00 PM ET. The check will be after the relevant candle closes. If CoinGecko is unavailable, another credible source will be chosen.
$173k
volume
This is a market on whether Switzerland or Wales will win their Euro 2020 match, scheduled for June 13, 2021 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to “Croatia” if Croatia wins the match, or “England” if England wins the match. If the match ends in a tie, the market will resolve to 50-50. If, for any reason, this match is postponed and a new match date is set for a start time of June 20, 2021, 9:00 AM ET or earlier, the same rules for market resolution will apply for the rescheduled match. If this match is rescheduled for a start time on any date after June 20, 2021, 9:00 AM ET, or is canceled altogether, the market will resolve 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$3k
volume
This is a market on the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases there will be globally by April 1, 2021, 11:59 pm EST. This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are more than 120,000,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally on or before the resolution date. This market will resolve to “No” if there are never more than 120,000,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally by the resolution date. The resolution source for this market will be the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19, globally, as indicated by the World Health Organization’s Coronavirus Disease Dashboard (https://covid19.who.int/).
$12k
volume
This is a market on whether Chain Runners will maintain a price floor over 1.25 ETH on December 2, 2021, at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on the aforementioned check time, there are no Chain Runners (on https://opensea.io/collection/chain-runners-nft) listed for 1.25 ETH or lower, and “No” otherwise. Only listings that have existed for at least an hour are valid for this market. List time for an NFT can be found under “Trading History” by clicking the “Listing” filter and hovering over the date. Note that the exact price at 12:00 PM ET will be used. If no floor price is available at the resolution time, the source will be checked every following hour. For valid listings that are declining price auctions, the price exactly at 12:00 PM ET will be used, NOT the price at initial listing time.
$22k
volume
This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the Eurostat (HICP), from April 2021 to April 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union annual inflation in April 2022 is 8.0 percent or more and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-euro-indicators. The next release of HICP inflation rate with full data for April 2022 is scheduled for May 18, 2022. Note, that this market is about inflation for all European Union Member States, not only the Euro zone (states using €). The Inflation dashboard for the Euro zone can be viewed here: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/macroeconomic_and_sectoral/hicp/html/index.en.html
$9k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 10th: If the Phoenix Suns win by over 6.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Portland Trail Blazers lose by less than 6.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 17, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$11k
volume
This is a market on whether Lewis Hamilton will finish ahead of Max Verstappen in the Formula 1 STC Saudi Arabian Grand Prix 2021, scheduled to take place on December 5, 2021. The market will resolve to “Yes” If Lewis Hamilton finishes ahead of Max Verstappen, and “No” otherwise. If for any reason the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a date on or before December 31, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a date after December 31, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50. - If Lewis Hamilton finishes the race but Max Verstappen does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “Yes.” - If Max Verstappen finishes the race but Lewis Hamilton does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “No.” - If neither Lewis Hamilton nor Max Verstappen finish the race, then the market will resolve to 50-50.
$5k
volume
This is a market on whether Ethereum ($ETH) will first reach $1000.00 USD or $2000.00 USD between June 12, 2022, 7 AM ET, and January 1, 2023, 12 AM ET. This market will resolve to "$1,000" if $ETH drops to $1000.00 USD or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "$2,000" if $ETH reaches $2000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $ETH neither drops to $1,000.00 or below nor reaches $2000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko's 30min candlestick low and high prices, with "Sun Jan 1 2023, 00:00:00" as the last relevant candle used for the market. The resolution source can be found here: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum. Note, this 00:00:00 candle lists the opening price for 11:30:00 PM ET and the closing price for 12:00:00 AM ET.
$8k
volume
This is a market on the hammer price of Edward Hopper's “Two Puritans” (Lot 39C), scheduled to go up for auction at Christie’s 20th Century Evening Sale, on November 11, 2021. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the final hammer price at auction exceeds $15 million, and “No” otherwise. Please note, the market resolves on the final hammer price at the live auction, which does not include buyer’s premium, fees, or taxes, and is not equivalent to “price realized” as listed on Christie’s website. Please note, if the final hammer price equals $15,000,000.00 - this market resolves to "No". ------------------------- The collection and its sale is presented online at Christie's website: https://www.christies.com/en/auction/20th-century-evening-sale-20180-nyr/ The auction will be transmitted live on Christie's Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BpkbPBEQb2c
$367
volume
In the upcoming NBA game: If the Charlotte Hornets win by over 4.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Cleveland Cavaliers lose by less than 4.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 6, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$6k
volume
Trading on the Moscow Stock Exchange (MOEX) has been suspended each day since Thursday, February 24, 2022. This market asks whether MOEX will be open for stock trading again by end of day March 11, 2022. If MOEX opens for stock trading between the date of this market's inception, March 7, 2022, and March 11, 2022, 4:00:00 PM ET (inclusive), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/IMOEX.ME). If the resolution source is unavailable, it will be checked every 8 hours for a week, to see if MOEX was open within the market timeframe. If still unavailable after a week, other credible sources will be checked instead.
$4k
volume
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 qualifier game, between the national soccer teams of Jamaica and USA, scheduled for November 16th: If the total sum of goals scored equals zero or is another even number (ie. score is 0-0, 0-2, 3-1...) , this market will resolve to “Even”. If the total sum of goals scored is an odd number (ie. score is 1-0, 2-1, 3-0...) , this market will resolve to “Odd”. If the game is not completed by November 23, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$8k
volume
This is a market on whether 183 million people in The United States of America will have initiated vaccination, according to the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, July 15, 2021, 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 183 million people or more are listed as having received their initial dose of vaccination by the resolution source. This only concerns the first dose of vaccination. For vaccines requiring two doses for inoculation, this market considers only the first dose as having initiated vaccination. This market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, fewer than 183 million people have initiated vaccination by the resolution date. The resolution source for this market will be the official data published by the CDC available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations, and will be checked at the resolution time/date. If the website is down, the most recently available data will be used to resolve the market. If the website is not down, this market will resolve according to the data as available immediately at the time of resolution, and resolution will not be delayed for the purpose of waiting for updated data from a specific date.
$45k
volume
This is a market on if OpenSea will have a live token by December 31, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET. Having a live token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native to the application, and substantiated by the respective project via website or social media channels. Empirically speaking, having a live token will be considered fulfilled if official project channels announce the introduction of the token and it is live on mainnet, and swappable and acquirable (i.e. via Uniswap). In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions. If the token is deployed to mainnet (in any form, including some sort of voucher), but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions. In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions. For clarity, this market is about fungible tokens, and not NFTs related to a platform. If OpenSea has a live token by December 31, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". If the resolution date is reached and none of the projects have a token, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of ambiguity, the market will be resolved in good faith by the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$148k
volume
This is a market on how much “In the Heights” will gross domestically on opening weekend. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. This market will resolve to “Under 22M” if “In the Heights” grosses less than $22,000,000 on opening weekend, or “22M to 29M” if “In the Heights” grosses between $22,000,000 and $29,000,000 inclusive on opening weekend, or “Over 29M” if “In the Heights” grosses more than $29,000,000 on opening weekend. The resolution source will be https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3674506753/ under the “Domestic Weekend” tab. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on June 15, 2021, 5 PM ET. If the box office sales data is based on a studio estimate rather than actual data, or if there is no data available, the source will be checked 24 hours later, and so on until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by June 25, 2021, 5 PM ET, then each bracket will resolve to 33 cents. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$9k
volume
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 41.5% for the day of May 28, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for May 28 will be checked on May 29, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason it is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the approval rating for the resolution date is available. If the approval rating remains unavailable on the resolution source after 7 days or Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the available approval rating nearest to the resolution date. Please note, the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
$19k
volume
This is a market on whether Italy will win the Euro 2020. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Italy wins the Euro 2020, and “No” otherwise. If the winner cannot be determined by July 31, 2021, the market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of ambiguity, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$44k
volume
This is a market on whether any of the first 10 picks in the first round of the 2021 NFL draft will be traded during the NFL draft, currently scheduled for April 29, 2021. This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official trade of one of the first 10 picks in the 2021 NFL draft from one team to another is announced, at any time after the team with the 1st overall pick goes on the clock to any time before the team with the 11th overall pick goes on the clock. This market will resolve “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the NFL draft, as well as credible news reports of a trade taking place or press releases or any official announcement from the NFL or an NFL team’s official representatives. This market will resolve after the team with the 11th pick in the NFL draft goes on the clock. If the NFL draft is delayed, this market will be delayed until the NFL Draft takes place. If the NFL draft still has not taken place by June 1, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
$5k
volume
This is a market on whether Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc will be the higher placed finisher at the 2022 Canadian Grand Prix, a race scheduled to take place over 70 laps of the 4.361-kilometre Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve in Montreal on Sunday, June 19. The market will resolve to “Max Verstappen” if Max Verstappen finishes ahead of Charles Leclerc, and “Charles Leclerc” if Charles Leclerc finishes ahead of Max Verstappen. Note: - If Max Verstappen finishes the race but Charles Leclerc does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “Max Verstappen”. - If Charles Leclerc finishes the race but Max Verstappen does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “Charles Leclerc”. - If neither Charles Leclerc nor Max Verstappen finish the race before June 26 (11:59 PM ET), then the market will resolve to 50-50. - If for any reason the 2022 Canadian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a different time and date on or before June 26, 2022, the same market conditions will apply. If the race is rescheduled to a time and date after June 26, 2022, this market will resolve to 50-50.
$2k
volume
This is a market on the Market Cap comparison of two cryptocurrencies: Cardano ($ADA) and Solana ($SOL) for the resolution date and time of December 9, 2021, at 8:00 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be market cap ranking on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en). If, according to the resolution source, $ADA has a greater market cap than $SOL on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Cardano”. If $SOL has a greater market cap than $ADA on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Solana”. If the estimated market cap for the resolution date is exactly the same for both cryptocurrencies, this market will resolve 50/50. If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable at the resolution time, another credible source will be checked such as CoinMarketCap. In the event of an ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, historical market caps of each coin will be used (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cardano, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana), precisely the first recorded measurement after 8:00 PM. -------------- Market Cap = Current Price x Circulating Supply Refers to the total market value of a cryptocurrency’s circulating supply.
$4k
volume
The 2022 FIFA World Cup qualification is the qualifying process that will decide teams that will participate in the 2022 FIFA World Cup. The 2022 FIFA World Cup is scheduled to take place in Qatar from November 21, 2022 to December 18, 2022. This is a market on whether Ukraine's national soccer team will qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup. In order to do so, they must win the postponed "Path A" UEFA First Round semi-final with Scotland and the final with Wales, both scheduled for June 2022. This market will resolve “Yes” if Ukraine qualifies, or “No” if it does not. If for any reason the qualified teams are not known by September 1, 2022 (11:59:59 PM ET), this market will resolve to "No".
$5k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game between Los Angeles Clippers and Boston Celtics, scheduled for December 8: If the total sum of points scored is an even number (ie. score is 120-118, 97-133, 115-113...), this market will resolve to “Even”. If the total sum of points scored is an odd number (ie. score is 120-119, 97-132, 114-115...), this market will resolve to “Odd”. If the game is not completed by December 15, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$1k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 12th: If the Cleveland Cavaliers win by over 5.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Detroit Pistons lose by less than 5.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 19, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$6k
volume
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 26: If the Dallas Cowboys win by over 10.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Washington Football Team lose by less than 10.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by January 2, 2022, the market will resolve 50-50.
$5k
volume
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 2: If the Carolina Hurricanes win by over 1.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Ottawa Senators lose by less than 1.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 9, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$1k
volume
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, as checked on the resolution date, the 'The Batman' movie will be given 90% or higher Tomatometer rating at Rotten Tomatoes, and 'No' otherwise. The resolution source (Tomatometer All Critics Score rating at Rotten Tomatoes' movie profile: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_batman) for this market will be checked on the resolution date - March 7 2022 at 12:00 PM ET. --------------- 'The Batman' will be released worldwide in theaters on March 4. Rotten Tomatoes' Tomatometer is the percentage of all Approved Tomatometer Critics who have given this movie a positive review. --------------- If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 12 hours, until the actual data is available. If the data is not available on the resolution source by March 14 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.
$21k
volume
This is a market on whether the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US will be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22, 2021. The resolution source for this market will be https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases. “for the day of July 22, 2021” refers to the data on the CDC table under the 7 day moving average column, on the same row as “Jul 22 2021”. This data can also be found by mousing over the bar on the graph which has “Date: July 22, 2021”, and reading the 7-Day Moving average number in that box. The 7-day moving average for the day of July 22 will be checked at 8:00 PM ET, July 23. If data for the day of July 22 is not accessible on the website at that time, the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC) will check the resolution source every 24 hours until it is available, or for one last time on August 1, 2021, 8:00 PM ET. If data is still unavailable, the market will resolve based on the most recent 7-Day Moving Average prior to July 22. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$38k
volume
This is a market on whether Kathryn Garcia or Maya Wiley will finish with more votes in the final reallocation of the ranked choice voting process in the NYC Democratic primary. The market will resolve to “Garcia” if Kathryn Garcia finishes with more votes in the final reallocation of the ranked choice voting process, or “Wiley” if Maya Wiley finishes with more votes in the final reallocation of the ranked choice voting process. If Kathryn Garcia and Maya Wiley finish with an equal number of votes, the market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$414
volume
This is a market on the higher placed finisher at the 2022 Saudi Arabia Grand Prix, Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc. The race takes place over 50 laps of the 6.174-kilometer Jeddah Corniche Circuit on Sunday, March 27, 2022. The market will resolve to “Max Verstappen” if Max Verstappen finishes ahead of Charles Leclerc, and “Charles Leclerc” if Charles Leclerc finishes ahead of Max Verstappen. Note: - If Max Verstappen finishes the race but Charles Leclerc does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “Max Verstappen”. - If Charles Leclerc finishes the race but Max Verstappen does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “Charles Leclerc”. - If neither Charles Leclerc nor Max Verstappen finish the race before March 27 (11 PM ET), then the market will resolve to 50-50. - If for any reason the Saudi Arabia Grand Prix is rescheduled to a date on or before March 27, 2022, the same market conditions will apply.
$6k
volume
In the upcoming NFL game: If the Philadelphia Eagles win by over 3.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Detroit Lions lose by less than 3.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 6, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$4k
volume
This is a market on who will win the NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals Game 2 between the Montreal Canadiens and the Vegas Golden Knights, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2021, at 9 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Canadiens” if the Montreal Canadiens win, or “Golden Knights” if the Vegan Golden Knights win. If the match is postponed to a date on or before 9:00 PM ET, June 23, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a date after 9:00 PM ET, June 23, 2021 or cancelled altogether, the market will resolve 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$26
volume
This is a market on whether Team Liquid or 100 Thieves will win their best of five series in the League of Legends Championship Series Playoffs on August 21, 2021, 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Team Liquid” if Team Liquid wins the series. If 100 Thieves wins, it will resolve to “100 Thieves.” If this series is, for any reason, postponed, the same market resolution conditions will apply for whenever the series is rescheduled. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$12k
volume
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 14th: If the Pittsburgh Steelers win by over 8.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Detroit Lions lose by less than 8.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 21, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$6k
volume
This is a market on whether more than 2,100,000 people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day on or after January 1 2022 and on or before January 11 2022. The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2,100,000 for any day on or after January 1 and on or before January 11 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of January 11 2022 or on any date before that if the target is reached. If the target has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from January 1 to January 11 by January 15 2022 the market will resolve to 50-50. Any revisions published to data for dates January 1 2022 and onward prior to the release of data for January 11 will be considered.
$75k
volume
The 2022 French Open (also known as Roland-Garros) is a major tennis tournament held over two weeks, from May 22 to June 5, 2022, at the Stade Roland-Garros in Paris, France, on outdoor clay courts. World No. 2 Daniil Medvedev is a favorite to win the title. His presence at the 2022 French Open, however, is uncertain due to a recent surgery, the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and the fact that he signed up to play at the Libema Open, which starts the day after the French Open final. This is a market on whether Daniil Medvedev will play at least one point in the French Open for the Men's Singles Tournament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniil Medvedev plays at least one point in the 2022 French Open. For example, if Daniil Medvedev wins one point during a match in the 2022 French Open and the score is 15-0, or loses one point and the score is 0-15, then this will suffice to resolve the market to "Yes." The market cannot resolve to "Yes" until Medvedev has actually played a point. This market will resolve to “No” if the first round of the 2022 French Open starts and Daniil Medvedev is not listed as a participant in any matches. If Medvedev is listed as a participant but does not play a single point, the market will also resolve to "No". If the 2022 French Open has not started by June 15, 2022, 12:00, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Open (presently found at https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/), however credible media sources will also suffice.
$39k
volume
This is a market on whether 130 million people in The United States of America will have initiated vaccination, according to the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, April 15, 2021, 8 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 130 million people or more are listed as having received their initial dose of vaccination by the resolution source. This only concerns the first dose of vaccination. For vaccines requiring two doses for inoculation, this market considers only the first dose to be considered having initiated vaccination. This market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, fewer than 130 million people have initiated vaccination by the resolution date. The resolution source for this market will be the official data published by the CDC available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations. This market will resolve according to the data as available immediately at the time of resolution, and resolution will not be delayed for the purpose of waiting for updated data from a specific date. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$3k
volume
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Katie Ledecky wins 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 OIympics in Tokyo, Japan. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Note, this market will count medals won in both individual and team events. If this athlete has not completed all their events and has also not been eliminated from meeting the criteria for this market to resolve to “Yes” (e.g. because events have been postponed) by September 1, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$24k
volume
This is a market on who will win in the Game 3, Western Conference Final, NBA Playoff matchup between the Phoenix Suns and the Los Angeles Clippers, scheduled to take place on June 24, 2021, 9:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Suns” if the Phoenix Suns win, and “Clippers” if the Los Angeles Clippers win. If the match is postponed to a date on or before July 1, 2021, 9:00 PM ET, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a date after July 1, 2021, 9:00 PM ET or cancelled altogether, the market will resolve 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$22k
volume
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for November 20th: If the Indiana Pacers win by over 7.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the New Orleans Pelicans lose by less than 7.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by November 27, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$5k
volume
This is a market on NYC subway's daily ridership numbers, determined from MetroCard and OMNY swipes and taps, including ridership on the Staten Island Railway. If daily subway ridership in New York City is higher than 3,300,000 for any day between November 5 and November 18 2021 (including both), this market resolves to "Yes". Otherwise, this market resolves to "No". The resolution source for this market is The Metropolitan Transportation Authority Day-by-day ridership numbers (https://new.mta.info/coronavirus/ridership) and it will be checked at daily at 11:30 AM ET. If the data for any day is not available for any day between November 5 to November 18 inclusive by November 28 for all of the checks, this market resolves 50-50.
$2k
volume
This is a market on who will win in the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match-up between Magnus Carlsen and Ian Nepomniachtchi, scheduled to take place on May 23, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET. The market will resolve to “Carlsen” if Magnus Carlsen wins, or “Nepomniachtchi” if Ian Nepomniachtchi wins. If the preliminary match is a draw, the market will resolve to 50 cents Carlsen and 50 cents Nepomniachtchi. If the preliminary match is postponed to a day on or before May 31, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the preliminary match is postponed to a day after May 31, 2021, or is canceled altogether, the market will resolve to 50 cents Carlsen and 50 cents Nepomniachtchi. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$16k
volume
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arca Ape wins the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament, scheduled for July 29, 2021. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This tournament will be streamed on UpOnlyTV's Twitch channel, https://www.twitch.tv/uponlytv. If the winner has not been determined by July 30, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$3k
volume
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 28th: If the Los Angeles Rams win by over 2.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”. If the Green Bay Packers lose by less than 2.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” If the game is not completed by December 5th, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.
$6k
volume
This is a market on the final hammer price for Wayne Thiebaud’s “Winding River” (Lot 21), which is scheduled to be auctioned at Phillips 20th Century & Contemporary Art Evening Sale on June 23, 2021 (https://www.phillips.com/detail/wayne-thiebaud/NY010321/21). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the final hammer price at auction exceeds $8,000,000 and “No” otherwise. Note this is a market on the final hammer price at the live auction, which does not include buyer’s premium, fees, or taxes, and is not equivalent to “Sold For” price as listed on Phillips’ website. When the auction is live, there will be a live video feed broadcasting the auction, which can be accessed through the Phillips website (https://www.phillips.com/auctions/auction/NY010321). In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$2k
volume
This is a market on whether the Washington Football Team will beat the Atlanta Falcons by over 1.5 points in their NFL week four matchup scheduled to take place on October 3, 2021, at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Washington wins by over 1.5 points, and “No” if the Falcons lose by less than 1.5 points or win. If the match is postponed to a date on or before November 3, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. If the match is postponed to a date after November 3, 2021, or canceled altogether, the market will resolve 50/50.
$120k
volume
This market will resolve to “Japan” if Japan wins the Baseball gold medal at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, or “USA” if the United States of America wins the Baseball gold medal at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. This market will resolve on August 7, 2021, when the gold medal match is scheduled to be played. If the gold medal match is postponed to September 7, 2021, 11:59 PM ET or earlier, the same rules will apply. If the gold medal match is postponed to September 8, 2021, 12:00 AM ET or later, or cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to 50/50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$1k
volume
In Response to Trader inquiry: Wormhole has clarified that 120k wETH was exploited. However, this market will continue to use 64,688 ETH returned as the threshold for resolving the market to “Yes.” On 2/2/2022 Wormhole was exploited for approximately 93,750 ETH, as can be seen here: https://etherscan.io/address/0x629e7da20197a5429d30da36e77d06cdf796b71a#internaltx This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Wormhole hacker returns at least 69% of the exploited funds to Wormhole by February 9, 2022 11:59:59 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. Any official announcements by Wormhole (https://wormholenetwork.com/, https://twitter.com/wormholecrypto, etc) will be sufficient to resolve this market, as well as transactions from the hacker that return the funds to whichever relevant party or parties as determined by Wormhole. For the purposes of this market, 69% or more of the exploited funds means 64,688 ETH or more. or if other cryptocurrencies/currencies are sent instead, then at the time they were sent if their conversion into ETH was 64,688 ETH or more, it will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes.” Note that if funds are returned to Wormhole in another way, and they confirm, it will count for this market.
$36k
volume
This is a market on whether fully vaccinated Canadian citizens will be permitted to cross into the United States through the land borders for non-essential travel by September 1, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET. This market will resolve “Yes” if according to the resolution source, fully vaccinated Canadian citizens are permitted to cross into the United States for non-essential travel purposes (e.g. sightseeing, recreation, gambling, or attending cultural events in the United States) through the shared land borders by the resolution date, and “No” otherwise. This market will resolve "No" if the United States announces that non-essential travel through the land borders is permitted for Canadian citizens, but is not implemented before the resolution date. The resolution source will be https://ca.usembassy.gov/travel-restrictions-fact-sheet/, which is the US embassy’s webpage on COVID-19 related travel restrictions across the US border with Canada. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$18k
volume
This is a market on whether 188 million people in The United States of America will have initiated vaccination, according to the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, August 1, 2021, 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if 188 million people or more are listed as having received their initial dose of vaccination by the resolution source. This only concerns the first dose of vaccination. For vaccines requiring two doses for inoculation, this market considers only the first dose as having initiated vaccination. This market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, fewer than 188 million people have initiated vaccination by the resolution date. The resolution source for this market will be the official data published by the CDC available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations, and will be checked at the resolution time/date. If the website is down, the most recently available data will be used to resolve the market. If the website is not down, this market will resolve according to the data as available immediately at the time of resolution, and resolution will not be delayed for the purpose of waiting for updated data from a specific date. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
$56k
volume