How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June?

This prediction market on Polymarket asks: How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? With $100.0k in trading volume and $0 liquidity, the current odds show Long at 25%.

Long

25¢

Short

75¢

Volume

$100.0k

Liquidity

$0

Status

Closed

What is this market about?

This is a scalar market on the number of new residential sales that the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development will report for June 2021. The lower bound for this market is 600,000 and the upper bound is 900,000. This market will resolve on the Census’ count of "New Houses Sold", in their "Monthly New Residential Sales" Report for the month of June 2021, scheduled to be released at the webpage https://www.census.gov/construction/nrs/index.html (see "Current Press Release: Full Report [PDF]" in the "New Residential Sales" section) , on July 26, 2021. The resolution source will be checked at 5:00 PM ET on July 26, 2021. If the source is unavailable at that time, or does not have the New Residential Sales data for June 2021, it will be checked the following day at 5:00 PM ET, and once daily at that time until the data is available. If at 5:00 PM ET on August 2, 2021 the data is still unavailable, this market will resolve to 750,000, which is between the upper and lower bounds of the market. You can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short Token price corresponds with residential sales. Long and Short shares will settle proportionally to the outcome value if the final value is between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Token is capped at $1 and $0. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are whale traders doing on this market?

See which whales are trading this market and copy their moves automatically.

Start copying for free

Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.