Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st?

This prediction market on Polymarket asks: Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? With $53.3k in trading volume and $50 liquidity, the current odds show Yes at 100%.

Yes

100¢

No

0¢

Volume

$53.3k

Liquidity

$50

Status

Closed

What is this market about?

This is a market on whether there will be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 (Richter scale) or higher in the Conterminous U.S. between the market conception time, November 29th, 2021, 12:00 PM ET and December 31st, 2021 (11:59 PM ET), as measured by the U.S. Geological Survey. This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the list of recorded seismic activity at the resolution source (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/) for that period will include at least one earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher with its epicentre in the Conterminous U.S. and “No” otherwise. ------------------------------ The term 'Conterminous U.S.' used in this market refers to 48 lower states of The United States, excluding the maritime territory.

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Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.