How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?

Based on $74.0k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates 0 at 33% probability. This market has $0 in liquidity, indicating moderate trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

0

33%

1

34%

2

33%

Trading volume: $74.0k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This market is on how many charges the jury will find Derek Chauvin guilty of. Chauvin is charged criminally in Minnesota on three counts, each of which he has pleaded not guilty to. The maximum number of charges that Chauvin can be convicted of is two. This market will resolve to the number of counts Derek Chauvin is convicted on: zero (not guilty on all counts), one (guilty on one count), or two (guilty on two counts). In the event of a "hung jury" or mistrial, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket, "0". If the trial is delayed, the market resolution will be postponed until the start of the new trial date. In the event of a judgement of acquittal, this market will still resolve to the number of charges Chauvin is convicted of. In the event that Chauvin is convicted of more than 2 charges, each bracket will resolve equally to 1/3. The resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Minnesota Judicial Branch, specifically the page for this specific case (27-CR-20-12646: State vs. Derek Chauvin) available at https://www.mncourts.gov/media/StateofMinnesotavDerekChauvin.

What are experts predicting?

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