What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $114.8k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a scalar market on what Airbnb's market capitalization will be upon market close on its first day publicly trading, denominated in $USD and according to Google Finance. Airbnb is set to start trading soon, likely on the NASDAQ under the ticker $ABNB. The lower bound for this market is $20 billion, and the upper bound is $60 billion. You can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short Token price corresponds with Airbnb's market cap. Long and Short shares will settle proportionally to the outcome value if the final value is between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Token is capped at $1 and $0. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.