What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9?

Based on $24.9k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates 49,999 or fewer at 0% probability. This market has $2.0k in liquidity, indicating moderate trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

49,999 or fewer

0%

50,000-62,499

0%

62,500-74,999

100%

75,000 or more

0%

Trading volume: $24.9k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on what the 7-day average COVID-19 case count will be in the US on April 9, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be the 7-day moving average of daily cases, as displayed on the CDC’s COVID Data Tracker (https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases). Note the CDC always presents this average as a whole number, which is the figure that will be used to resolve the market. The 7-day moving average will be checked at 12:00 PM ET on April 9, 2021. The bracket into which the 7-day moving average falls at that time will be the bracket this market resolves to. If the website is down at that time or for any reason data is not accessible on the website at the resolution date, the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC) will wait 24 hours (until 12:00 PM ET on April 10, 2021) and resolve as soon as data is available again. If data is still unavailable at that time, all brackets will resolve to 0.25 USDC. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

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