What will the price of Bitcoin be on November 4th, 2020?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $59.8k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a scalar market on what the USD price of Bitcoin will be on November 4th, 2020, according to Coingecko. The lower bound for this market is $5,000/BTC, and the upper bound is $15,000/BTC - you can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short share price corresponds with the BTC price. The market will be settled according to Coingecko’s BTC page at roughly 12pm EST on November 4th, 2020. Long and Short shares will settle proportional to the final value, in the case of the final value being between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Share is capped at $1. Refer to calculator for share price and BTC price correlation. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.