Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars?

Based on $7.0k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates Nomadland at 100% probability. This market has $500 in liquidity, indicating moderate trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Nomadland

100%

The Trial of the Chicago 7

0%

Minari

0%

Promising Young Woman

0%

Other

0%

Trading volume: $7.0k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on which film will win the Academy Award for Best Picture at the 93rd Academy Awards (“Oscars”), scheduled to take place on Sunday April 25, 2021. This market will resolve to whichever bracket contains the film which is announced as the winner in the Best Picture category at the 93rd Academy Awards. The market will resolve to “Other” if any of the following films win Best Picture: Mank, Judas and the Black Messiah, Sound of Metal, or The Father. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards, and if necessary, the Oscars website (https://www.oscars.org/oscars/ceremonies/2021) and award database (http://awardsdatabase.oscars.org/). If for any reason the Oscars are delayed or the announcement of a winner is delayed, market resolution will be delayed until a Best Picture winner is announced. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

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