Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed before Nov 3rd, 2020?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $43.3k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether or not a new Supreme Court Justice will be both nominated and confirmed before Nov 3rd, 2020. Nominated and Confirmed, in the context of the Supreme Court, are defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Appointment_and_confirmation_to_the_Supreme_Court_of_the_United_States. If a Supreme Court Justice is Nominated but not Confirmed before the election, the market will resolve to “No”. RIP RBG. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.