Will any Knicks game have greater than 20% attendance before the NBA season ends?

Based on $17.7k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates Yes at 100% probability. This market has $0 in liquidity, indicating moderate trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Yes

100%

No

0%

Trading volume: $17.7k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether there will be a New York Knicks game at Madison Square Garden where more than 20% of the seats are filled by the end of the NBA season, including the playoffs. This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is any New York Knicks home game at Madison Square Garden, where official attendance is 3,963 or higher (3,963 is the lowest number that puts attendance over 20% of the 19,812 seating capacity at MSG for NBA games), before the end of the NBA season. This market will resolve to “No” if there is not a single New York Knicks home game at Madison Square Garden, where official attendance is higher than 3,963. The resolution source for this market will be the official attendance data provided in the NBA gamebooks (https://www.nba.com/stats/gamebooks/). The resolution date for this market will be the day the Knicks are eliminated from this NBA season. Resolution may be delayed in the event of a change or postponement in the NBA’s schedule.

What are experts predicting?

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