Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021?

Based on $39.8k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates Yes at 0% probability. This market has $1.3k in liquidity, indicating moderate trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Yes

0%

No

100%

Trading volume: $39.8k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether President Donald J. Trump will announce that he is running for the Office of the President of the United States in 2024 before October 2, 2021, 12:00 am ET, the resolution date. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any official announcement stating Donald Trump is running for the Office of the President of the United States in 2024 is released before the resolution date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Official announcements will include any press releases, definitive statements, videos, or credible statements to the media from Donald Trump or his staff stating he is running for Office of the President of the United States in 2024. In the event of conflicting information from different media sources or ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.

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Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.