Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:
Yes
97%
No
3%
Trading volume: $269.8k | Status: Closed
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, during Donald Trump's first term as president of the United States, the full U.S. House of Representatives shall, by simple majority vote, approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Trump at a date later than January 7th, 2021. Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to cause this market to resolve as “Yes“. This market will resolve to “No“ if, for any reason, articles of impeachment are not passed by the U.S. House of Representatives prior to the end of his first term. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). The resolution date for this market will be January 21, 2021. The resolution source for this market will be the equivalent PredictIt market, https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7044/Will-Donald-Trump-be-impeached-again-before-the-end-of-his-term
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