Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15?

Based on $40.4k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates Yes at 0% probability. This market has $1.3k in liquidity, indicating moderate trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Yes

100%

Trading volume: $40.4k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether President Donald J. Trump will be indicted for a federal crime or state crime by November 15, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump is indicted for a federal or state crime, as confirmed by government sources (https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel; https://www.justice.gov/news; https://www.manhattanda.org/category/news/) or credible news reports of an indictment by the resolution date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.

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Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.