Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $270.4k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on if Donald Trump will pardon Julian Assange prior to the end of his current presidential term (January 21st, 2021). In the event that Donald Trump does pardon Julian Assange, this will be recorded by the Department of Justice here: https://www.justice.gov/pardon/pardons-granted-president-donald-trump. If the pardon is issued after the specified date, January 21st, 2021, this market will resolve to “No.” This market specifically requires the Presidential pardon to be issued during Donald Trump’s current term in office. In the event of any ambiguity, this market will be resolved in good faith and as intended by the market’s integrity committee. Clarification: If the pardon is not listed by the resolution source on the resolution date, the market will resolve to "No". "Secret pardons" which are not listed on the website by the resolution date will not satisfy the requirement to resolve to "Yes", nor will the resolution date be extended.

What are experts predicting?

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