Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance?

Based on $495.0k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates Yes at 100% probability. This market has $1.1k in liquidity, indicating moderate trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Yes

100%

No

0%

Trading volume: $495.0k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether Elon Musk will mention Doge during his appearance on Saturday Night Live, scheduled for May 8, 2021. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk says either of the following words during his appearance: “DOGE” or “Dogecoin.” Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No." The resolution source for this market will be official audio and video recordings of Musk’s SNL appearance (both the live TV broadcast and online recordings available on Saturday Night Live’s official channel: https://www.youtube.com/user/SaturdayNightLive). If Musk’s SNL appearance is canceled or delayed beyond May 8, 2021, this market will resolve "No." In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). Update: This market will resolve “Yes” if Elon Musk says “doge” by itself or “doge” combined with other words as a pun or portmanteau. Words that contain the letters d-o-g-e but are not intended as a reference to “doge” (e.g. endogenous) will not be considered.

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.

See whale positions on this market

View detailed market data, whale activity, and trading volume on the full market page.

View market details

Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.