Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $105.7k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether Gavin Newsom will be the Governor of California on December 31, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, the resolution date. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, on the resolution date, Gavin Newsom is the Governor of the state of California as substantiated by official government sources (e.g. https://www.gov.ca.gov/). If, for any reason, Gavin Newsom is not the sitting Governor of California on or before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.