Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $8.6M | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on if Joe Biden will be inaugurated as President of the United States of America on Inauguration Day—January 20th, 2021. At the time of market creation, AP, CNN, WSJ, Fox, and more have called the election for Joe Biden as the winner, and formally declared him the president-elect. Trump, however, has continued to contest the results legally and some have speculated that there may be other maneuvers by which someone other than Joe Biden would be inaugurated. This market will not resolve, under any circumstances, until the resolution date—January 20th, 2021. If Donald Trump, or anyone else other than Joe Biden, is inaugurated on that day as President of the USA, the market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason, no Presidential inauguration is held on that date, this market will resolve to “No”. If Joe Biden is inaugurated to the office of President of the United States on January 20th, 2021, this market will resolve to “yes”. The resolution source will be https://www.usa.gov/presidents#item-37462 and https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/presidents/, both official government sources.

What are experts predicting?

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