Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $20.4k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether Joe Biden's disapproval rating will be 40% or higher on April 21, 2021. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, indicated by the orange trend line and number here, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If for any reason the resolution source is unavailable on the resolution date, resolution will be delayed up to 48 hours. If still unavailable following that delay, this market will resolve to 50/50. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available disapproval rating. The resolution date for this market will be on April 22, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of April 21, 2021. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

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