Will Marc Chagall’s “Les trois bouquets” sell for more than $1 million at Christie’s?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $8.6k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on the final hammer price for Marc Chagall’s “Les trois bouquets ou Le bouquet renversé” (Lot 513), which is scheduled to be auctioned at Christie’s on May 14, 2021 (https://www.christies.com/lot/lot-marc-chagall-1887-1985-les-trois-bouquets-ou-6317379/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the hammer price at auction exceeds $1 million, and “No” otherwise. Note this is a market on the final hammer price at the live auction, which does not include buyer’s premium, fees, or taxes, and is not equivalent to “price realised” as listed on Christie’s website. When the auction is live, there will be a live video feed broadcasting the auction on the Christie’s website (a “Join Auction” button will appear here: https://www.christies.com/en/auction/impressionist-modern-art-day-sale-29019/). In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

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