Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address?

Based on $12.5k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates Yes at 100% probability. This market has $1.9k in liquidity, indicating moderate trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Yes

100%

No

0%

Trading volume: $12.5k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether President Biden will mention coronavirus 3 or more times during his address to a joint session of Congress, scheduled to take place on April 28, 2021. This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Biden cumulatively mentions any of the following words three or more times: “coronavirus”, “covid”, “COVID-19”. For example, this market would resolve to “Yes” if Biden mentions “coronavirus” 5 times and none of the other variants (5 cumulative mentions) or if he mentions “coronavirus” twice and “covid” twice (4 cumulative mentions). This market will resolve to "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the official transcript of the joint address, as published by an official White House source (https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/). Note that a mention of any of the listed words will be confirmed by searching the text of this document and counting the number of times that word appeared (all variations on capitalization will be counted). This market will resolve after an official transcript of the address is published and the number of mentions can be verified. Update: In response to trader inquiries, the market will resolve on April 29, 2021 at 9pm ET according to the transcript published at the resolution source that most accurately reflects the speech as presented by President Biden.

What are experts predicting?

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