Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $40.6k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch and landing of their Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. A successful launch will mean that Starship SN15 successfully takes off from its launchpad in Boca Chica, TX, and sustains flight for longer than 10 seconds. A successful landing will mean that the Starship SN15 lands in the designated landing area and remains upright for at least 1 hour after landing. The successful launch and landing will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds if necessary. If the Starship SN15 completes a successful launch and landing by May 11, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

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