Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $197.8k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether the 2021 Tokyo Olympics will take place. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the resolution date, August 9, 2021, at least 15 total medals have been awarded. This market will resolve to “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the results page of the official website of the International Olympic Committee, https://www.olympic.org/olympic-results. This market will resolve immediately upon satisfaction of the market conditions. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). Update: Should the primary resolution link be unavailable or not specifically contain information on the total medal count, any link from the official Olympics site https://www.olympic.org/, which contains information on the total medal count, will suffice as the resolution source for this market. If the entire Olympics webpage is unavailable on the resolution date, another credible source will be chosen by the MIC.

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.