Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $85.7k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

In response to trader inquiry: As of June 18, 2021, at 12:51 AM ET, there has been no data published by the CDC for the date of June 17, 2021. If no data is published for the date of June 17, 2021 at the time of the second check, which will take place on June 18, 2021, at 8:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50 as per the original market rules. This is a market on whether the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US will be less than 15,000 for the day of June 17, 2021. The resolution source for this market will be the 7-day moving average of daily cases for the day of June 17, 2021, as displayed on the CDC’s Covid Data Tracker (https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases). The 7-day moving average will be checked at 8:00 PM ET on June 17, 2021. If the average for the day of June 17 is less than 15,000, the market will resolve to “Yes.” Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” If the website is down at that time or for any reason data for June 17 is not accessible on the website at the resolution date, the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC) will wait 24 hours (until 8:00 PM ET on June 18, 2021) and resolve then. If data for June 17 is still unavailable at that time, the market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

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