Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6?

Based on $261.4k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates Yes at 0% probability. This market has $0 in liquidity, indicating moderate trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Yes

0%

No

0%

Trading volume: $261.4k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether the Associated Press twitter account, https://twitter.com/AP, will publish a tweet declaring a definitive winner of the 2020 US presidential election prior to 11:59PM EST on November 5th, 2020. Resolution of this market will be unaffected by the aforementioned tweet later being deleted. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a tweet is published no matter the outcome of the election they declare. If no tweet is published by Nov 6th this market will resolve to “No”.

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.

See whale positions on this market

View detailed market data, whale activity, and trading volume on the full market page.

View market details

Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.