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Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Based on $701.3k in Polymarket trading volume, the crowd currently estimates Yes at 60% probability. This market has $265.6k in liquidity, indicating strong trader confidence.

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Yes

60%

No

41%

Trading volume: $701.3k | Status: Active

What do we know about this question?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.

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Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.