Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $498.8k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether the Ever Given container ship (IMO: 9811000, MMSI 353136000) will be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. For the purpose of this market, dislodged from the Suez Canal will mean that the Ever Given has a latitude higher than 30.03000 N (i.e. be at least half a mile above where it got stuck) or lower than 30.01000 N degrees (i.e. be at least half a mile below where it got stuck), by the resolution date, March 30, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. The resolution source for this for this market will be the Ever Green’s latitude and longitude coordinates, as tracked by Vessel Finder and displayed in their “Position & Voyage Data” table (https://www.vesselfinder.com/vessels/EVER-GIVEN-IMO-9811000-MMSI-353136000).

What are experts predicting?

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