Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $22.4k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether the Ever Given container ship (IMO: 9811000, MMSI 353136000) will be allowed to exit the Great Bitter Lake area, where it is currently being held by Egyptian authorities in the Suez Canal, by May 20, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. For the purpose of this market, exiting the Great Bitter Lake area will mean that the Ever Given has a latitude higher than 30.43000 N (i.e. about a mile north of the northern tip of Great Bitter Lake) or lower than 30.15000 N (i.e. about a mile south of the southern tip of the Little Bitter Lake), by the resolution date, May 20, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. The resolution source for this for this market will be the Ever Green’s latitude and longitude coordinates, as tracked by Vessel Finder and displayed in their “Position & Voyage Data” table (https://www.vesselfinder.com/vessels/EVER-GIVEN-IMO-9811000-MMSI-353136000).

What are experts predicting?

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