Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $566.5k | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on whether Donald Trump pardon himself during his first term. The linked PredictIt question is the basis for the creation of this market and will be referenced as the leading resolution source, https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6453/Will-Trump-pardon-himself-in-his-first-term. This market will resolve when the PredictIt market is resolved, to the same outcome. Predictit Description: During his first term, President Donald Trump shall grant a pardon to himself for one or more criminal offences, charges or convictions. Such pardon will be considered to have been granted only if Mr. Trump himself appears on the official list of presidential pardons granted by President Trump, maintained by the U.S. Department of Justice's Office of the Pardon Attorney (available upon launch of this market at https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemencyrecipients) by 11:59 pm on February 15, 2021 (the “End Date”). A self-pardon for Mr. Trump that is announced but does not appear on such official list by the End Date shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve Yes. Subsequent removal, revocation or legal challenge to such a pardon grant that appears on the official list at any time before the End Date shall have no bearing on the outcome of this market.

What are experts predicting?

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