Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

What are the current odds?

Based on Polymarket prediction data, the current odds are:

Trading volume: $10.8M | Status: Closed

What do we know about this question?

This is a market on if Donald Trump will win the 2020 US presidential election. This is not about the popular vote - it's particularly about if Trump will win the election, as defined by the electoral college system, and set to still be president come next term. Market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump receives the required number of electoral votes to win the presidency, whenever it is called. If Joe Biden or any other candidate is declared the winner of this election officially, this market will resolve to “No”. Note: If the election winner is not declared on election night, this market will not resolve until a winner is confirmed.The resolution source will be https://www.cnn.com/election/2020 CNN's 2020 Election page: Additional note: in the event of conflicting sources between CNN and WSJ (https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/campaign-wire-election-2020) or Associated Press (https://apnews.com/hub/election-2020), the market will only be resolved once there is a definitive winner. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

What are experts predicting?

Whale traders with large portfolios are actively trading this market on Polymarket. These high-volume traders often have access to deep research and move prices when they take positions. Track which wallets are placing large bets on this question and follow their conviction using PredCopy.