Crypto Prediction Market Accuracy

How accurate are Polymarket prediction markets for crypto events? Below are the active markets in this category with current odds.

Accuracy in crypto markets

Crypto prediction markets on Polymarket benefit from a large pool of informed traders. Markets with higher volume tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as more capital at stake incentivizes better research and analysis.

Currently tracking 30 active crypto markets on Polymarket.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1%No 99%
Vol: $43.8MLiq: $5.9M

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17%No 83%
Vol: $34.7MLiq: $838.1k

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 65%No 35%
Vol: $34.1MLiq: $365.1k

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1%No 99%
Vol: $32.0MLiq: $1.0M

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10%No 90%
Vol: $28.8MLiq: $1.0M

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4%No 96%
Vol: $28.3MLiq: $1.2M

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16%No 84%
Vol: $28.2MLiq: $1.0M

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1%No 99%
Vol: $26.8MLiq: $8.9M

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9%No 91%
Vol: $25.6MLiq: $1.0M

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8%No 92%
Vol: $25.6MLiq: $1.7M

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6%No 94%
Vol: $25.5MLiq: $1.0M

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2%No 98%
Vol: $25.1MLiq: $5.0M

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11%No 89%
Vol: $23.9MLiq: $1.4M

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2%No 98%
Vol: $23.9MLiq: $6.9M

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 35%No 65%
Vol: $19.9MLiq: $378.6k

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Yes 49%No 52%
Vol: $11.5MLiq: $372.0k

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Yes 49%No 51%
Vol: $4.4MLiq: $146.2k

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 58%No 42%
Vol: $2.7MLiq: $82.2k

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Yes 51%No 50%
Vol: $1.9MLiq: $29.1k

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Yes 15%No 85%
Vol: $1.6MLiq: $6.8k

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 42%No 59%
Vol: $1.4MLiq: $79.7k

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Yes 51%No 50%
Vol: $796.0kLiq: $15.1k

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Yes 52%No 48%
Vol: $738.6kLiq: $8.3k

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Yes 51%No 50%
Vol: $662.7kLiq: $17.4k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Yes 81%No 19%
Vol: $373.0kLiq: $3.0k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Yes 7%No 93%
Vol: $211.4kLiq: $3.4k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Yes 4%No 96%
Vol: $168.2kLiq: $3.9k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Yes 3%No 97%
Vol: $139.3kLiq: $4.9k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Yes 3%No 97%
Vol: $88.8kLiq: $3.9k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Yes 4%No 96%
Vol: $84.6kLiq: $4.7k

Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.

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