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Live probabilities from Polymarket prediction markets, updated in real time.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Vol: $158.7MLiq: $7.6M

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Vol: $124.2MLiq: $8.6M

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $52.1MLiq: $1.1M

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $50.0MLiq: $724.6k

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $43.7MLiq: $2.8M

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $43.6MLiq: $1.3M

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $43.4MLiq: $2.8M

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $42.8MLiq: $2.7M

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $42.6MLiq: $2.8M

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $41.8MLiq: $2.7M

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $40.1MLiq: $2.6M

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $38.5MLiq: $2.6M

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $38.2MLiq: $2.4M

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $35.5MLiq: $2.2M

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $33.8MLiq: $2.4M

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $31.8MLiq: $1.8M

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $31.2MLiq: $1.8M

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $27.1MLiq: $949.5k

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $26.5MLiq: $334.2k

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $26.0MLiq: $2.1M

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $25.3MLiq: $1.9M

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $24.5MLiq: $305.5k

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $24.2MLiq: $2.3M

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $22.7MLiq: $1.9M

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $21.4MLiq: $1.3M

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $16.9MLiq: $726.2k

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $16.6MLiq: $578.9k

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $15.1MLiq: $540.0k

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $14.3MLiq: $734.2k

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $14.0MLiq: $349.4k

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $12.8MLiq: $404.0k

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $12.6MLiq: $327.5k

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $12.3MLiq: $881.3k

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $12.2MLiq: $264.2k

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Vol: $11.9MLiq: $271.0k

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $11.6MLiq: $396.4k

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Vol: $11.4MLiq: $209.2k

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $11.0MLiq: $871.9k

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Vol: $9.2MLiq: $440.5k

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Vol: $4.7MLiq: $103.2k

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Vol: $1.9MLiq: $58.6k

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Vol: $859.6kLiq: $18.0k

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Vol: $749.0kLiq: $10.6k

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Vol: $697.7kLiq: $76.3k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Vol: $391.0kLiq: $2.6k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Vol: $218.0kLiq: $1.4k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Vol: $179.2kLiq: $3.4k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Vol: $147.7kLiq: $2.9k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Vol: $97.1kLiq: $1.5k

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Vol: $92.4kLiq: $1.4k

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