Sports Prediction Market Accuracy

How accurate are Polymarket prediction markets for sports events? Below are the active markets in this category with current odds.

Accuracy in sports markets

Sports prediction markets on Polymarket benefit from a large pool of informed traders. Markets with higher volume tend to produce more accurate probability estimates, as more capital at stake incentivizes better research and analysis.

Currently tracking 30 active sports markets on Polymarket.

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1%No 99%
Vol: $52.9MLiq: $168.7k

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $44.2MLiq: $2.8M

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $43.9MLiq: $2.4M

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $42.9MLiq: $2.6M

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $39.0MLiq: $2.6M

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $38.7MLiq: $2.6M

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $35.8MLiq: $2.7M

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $34.2MLiq: $2.5M

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2%No 98%
Vol: $34.2MLiq: $368.9k

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $31.8MLiq: $1.7M

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 15%No 85%
Vol: $28.0MLiq: $253.4k

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $27.5MLiq: $926.5k

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $26.4MLiq: $2.1M

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1%No 99%
Vol: $26.3MLiq: $1.3M

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $25.7MLiq: $2.0M

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1%No 99%
Vol: $24.8MLiq: $328.5k

Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $23.3MLiq: $1.8M

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0%No 100%
Vol: $23.1MLiq: $1.9M

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2%No 98%
Vol: $18.5MLiq: $331.4k

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3%No 97%
Vol: $17.7MLiq: $319.5k

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1%No 99%
Vol: $15.8MLiq: $401.3k

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 17%No 83%
Vol: $15.5MLiq: $327.7k

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Yes 3%No 97%
Vol: $15.1MLiq: $589.2k

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2%No 98%
Vol: $14.7MLiq: $879.3k

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 7%No 93%
Vol: $14.1MLiq: $414.7k

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 3%No 97%
Vol: $13.4MLiq: $412.5k

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 14%No 86%
Vol: $13.4MLiq: $297.6k

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 5%No 95%
Vol: $12.2MLiq: $430.1k

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1%No 99%
Vol: $12.1MLiq: $240.3k

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 6%No 94%
Vol: $10.3MLiq: $286.3k

Risk Disclaimer

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.

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